Silicon Prairie Ag TechSPAG021 · PERSISTENT AUCTION REPLAY
Advanced Sim · Bilateral Market Replay

Watch persistence become economic value.

The same modeled Nebraska producers and buyers enter the same physical market at Auction 1, 2, 8 and 21. Economics qualify first. Persistence only changes weight among participants whose price, quantity and delivery terms already qualify.

51% Economics · 22% Persistence · 27% Reliability · Speed 0%
LOYALTY, WITH A HARD RULE.Think frequent-flyer status for a market: show up competitively, fulfill what you commit, and the market remembers. But no amount of history can make a bad economic offer qualified.
The Replay

One market. Four moments in its memory.

All participants below are modeled Nebraska archetypes, not representations of named real businesses. The replay is designed to show mechanism behavior, not predict a specific future auction.

FORMED PHYSICAL MARKET · SIMULATIONCentral Nebraska Feeder Cattle · 500 head · 675 lb · +6MUniform reference clear: $390.66/cwt · verified physical delivery
SELLER SIDE · AUCTION 1Price gets you through the door. History is still thin.

Qualified producers compete primarily on economics and reliability; Persistence has little accumulated information yet.

BUYER SIDE · AUCTION 1Large buyers do not own the queue.

Qualified midsize buyers share the same auction and begin building a market history alongside larger procurement desks.

Qualified sellers7 / 8
Qualified buyers4 / 5
Top-3 seller concentration—
Small / mid seller allocation—
Mid-buyer average fill—
Persistence reward—
PRODUCER AGENTS

How expected allocation changes.

Ask must qualify economically first. Expected allocation then reflects economics, Persistence and reliability.

Producer
Ask
Persist.
Allocation
BUYER AGENTS

How expected fill changes.

Ceiling must qualify first. Persistent reliable bidders can improve fill access without becoming the largest buyer.

Buyer
Ceiling
Persist.
Fill
WHAT CHANGED?

The market has almost no memory yet.

Auction 1 is intentionally economics-heavy. Persistence begins as a small information signal and only becomes useful after repeated qualified participation and fulfillment.

Economics still rule.
One producer and one buyer fail the price test and receive zero allocation despite having a Persistence profile. That remains true at Auction 21.
Hansen Family Farms · modeled net$0

—

Platte Valley Feeders · effective cost / cwt$0

—

Producer fee after persistence reward1.25%

Modeled commercial fee layer; separate from qualification.

Buyer fee after persistence reward0.50%

Modeled platform + coordination cost after earned rebate.

Modeled Participants

Nebraska-sized archetypes, not cartoon whales and minnows.

The replay deliberately includes family producers, midsize operations, independent feedlots and larger integrated buyers. Everyone starts with the same Persistence baseline. Scores diverge only from modeled qualified participation and fulfillment—not from size.

8 producer archetypes

Supply side

Lots range from 55 to 420 head. One small seller deliberately asks outside the economic threshold to demonstrate that Persistence cannot rescue an unqualified offer.

5 buyer archetypes

Demand side

Demand ranges from 140 to 400 head. One co-op buyer deliberately bids below the economic threshold and remains unfilled at every replay point.

Investor Thesis

Persistence creates a reason to stay in the market.

The strategic value is not a “points program.” It is a behavioral flywheel: qualified participation and fulfillment improve future access; future access makes repeated participation more valuable; repeated participation deepens the market.

Producer effect

Small does not have to mean episodic.

A smaller seller can keep a bounded mandate active, accumulate verified history and become a more credible recurring source of qualified supply. Size did not change. Market credibility did.

Buyer effect

Midsize buyers can build procurement standing.

An independent feedlot or co-op does not need the deepest balance sheet to remain economically relevant. Persistent competitive bidding and fulfillment build measurable access to future supply.